Population of britain is set to overtake france within 13 years_ impact of high immigration will mak – youtube

Population of Britain is set to overtake France within 13 years: Impact of high immigration will make the UK the most populous European country by 2050

Numbers of people living here will top French levels in 2030 and will keep rising to make Britain the most populous country in Europe by 2050, they predicted.

The key reason why the British population is going up so quickly compared to that of neighbouring countries is immigration, according to the projections from Eurostat.

The estimates from the Luxembourg-based EU statistics arm confirm international expectations that Britain, already the most crowded major European country except for the Netherlands, will continue to grow quickly in numbers, largely because of immigration.

The projections, however, do not take into account the political impact of Brexit, which would allow the UK the right to control immigration by EU citizens.


The most recent British immigration figures showed that numbers of EU citizens coming into the country now almost match the level of immigration from the rest of the world.

Eurostat future population estimates are dated from the beginning of January each year – unlike the different estimates made by Britain’s Office for National Statistics, which are calculated from the end of June – and the latest were released yesterday.

They put numbers in Britain at the beginning of 2015 at 64,643,370. What countries are in european union This compared to a population of 66,175,754 in France and 80,709,056 in Germany.

At the beginning of 2030, the projections said, numbers in the UK will have gone up to 70,469,762, just ahead of the French population of 70,396,105.

Germany, despite continuing high levels of immigration, will have an ageing and falling population for the foreseeable future, the EU agency said.

Numbers in Germany will fall below those in Britain in the late 2040s, the figures suggest, and reach 74,721,315 in 2050, against the UK total of 77,177,523.

Without immigration or emigration, Eurostat’s projections said, the British population in 2050 would be just 67,251,838, more than two million below numbers in France if they too were unaffected by migration.

According to the EU projections, if there was no immigration or emigration, the effects of ageing and lower birth rates would mean number would begin to fall from 2050 and there would be 64,710,496 people in the UK at the beginning of 2080.

The scale of the increase in future numbers – and the Eurostat interpretation which says that the great bulk of rising population in Britain is a result of migration – underline the extent of the concerns that fuelled the Brexit referendum vote last year.

Critics of immigration fear growing pressure on housing, transport, education, power and water, and health services, especially in southern England which attracts the majority of arriving immigrants.

Only the Netherlands and tiny Malta have more people crammed into each square kilometre of land in the UK, and in southern England, where there are 465 people to every square kilometer, density is on track to overtake that in the Netherlands.

Eurostat said: ‘Population projections are what-if scenarios that aim to provide information about the likely future size and structure of the population.

‘Eurostat’s population projections are one of several possible population change scenarios based on specific assumptions for fertility, mortality and migration.’

The EU estimates are based on varying assessments of the future size of the central measure of the impact of immigration, net migration. Countries in europe that start with s Net migration into the UK, which takes into account both immigration and emigration, is expected by Eurostat to peak at just under 210,000 a year in 2014.

Britain’s population was higher than that of France in the 1960s, but European prosperity and British stagnation in the 1970s led to a reversal.

During the decade emigration from Britain was higher than immigration, and numbers in France overtook the British population in the first half